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Here’s how much US home prices will plunge in current market bubble

White paper houses with red arrow down on wall background. Concept for low cost real estate. Lower mortgage interest rates. Falling prices of rental housing. Reducing demand of home buying. paper cut.

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US home prices will likely have to decline by as much as 20% over the course of a multi-year correction before the housing sector can get back on track with historical trends, a research firm warned this week.

The most recent correction cycles that occurred in the US housing market, such as a bubble in the 1990s and the sector’s implosion in the mid-2000s, took several years to conclude, DataTrek Research co-founder Nicholas Colas said.

In the current market, US home prices have only begun to fall in the last few months – suggesting the declines will continue for the foreseeable future.

“US home prices need to fall by about 15-20 percent over the coming years in order to return to their long run growth trend. That process is clearly starting but has a good way to go,” Colas said in a note to investors this week obtained by Insider.

 

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