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While the ink isn’t even on the paper yet, much less dry, the recent $418 million settlement offer by the National Association of Realtors (NAR) (which it called an “agreement reached” in its press release) has experienced real estate agents expecting the worst.

That’s one takeaway from a recent Weekly Real Estate News (WREN) poll of our readers. The polling is ongoing, but the results from the first 1,000 agents tell a clear story.

NAR made the offer to resolve the charges brought in the Sitzer/Burnett case.

According to WREN Editor Phil Hall, “The settlement requires NAR to jettison its rules requiring that most residential listings include an upfront offer that informs the buyers’ agents how much they will get paid.”

Hall called the offer a “miss” in his weekly Hits & Misses column. Agents polled by WREN agreed.

Experienced agents expect a very bad industry experience

The settlement offer, which still must be approved by a Federal judge, came barely one month after NAR vowed to appeal the Sitzer/Burnett verdict. In his column, Hall pointed out:

While some observers are crowing that this will lead to lower home prices, there is a better-than-average chance that NAR’s detractors who pushed for this resolution will unleash the proverbial ‘be careful what you wish for’ situation once the dust settles.”

Agents WREN polled put a similar idea in much more colorful language. One agent told WREN: “I tried for 20 (sic) yrs to make a case for changes in (sic) practice of NAR…only to be (sic) ostracized…Now I am Laughing at them …they brought this on..disgraceful arrogance…”

While not every agent who responded to our survey had 20 years of experience in the business, 79.09% said they had been in the business for more than 10 years. Another 15.28% said they had been licensed agents for 6 to 10 years. Nearly 40% of agents polled said they first heard about the settlement offer on Weekly Real Estate News.

What does their experience in the business tell them about this settlement? Nothing good.

How agents feel the NAR settlement will impact the market overall.

When asked how the new settlement would affect the real estate market overall, more than 83% of agents said it would be negative, with 41.95% expecting it would very negatively impact the market, and 41.40% saying the impact would be somewhat negative. Only 7.45% of respondents felt the impact would be either somewhat positive or very positive.

The risks agents see coming next

Of the agents surveyed, less than 5% (4.15%) did not expect the settlement to have significant impacts on their day-to-day operations. The rest expect changes, with over 35% (36.57%) saying they expect those changes to be extremely significant. Naturally, most considered their commission structures to be the most impacted aspect of their business.

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The aspects of the agent's business impacted

One in five agents (20.18%) said the settlement would impact their client relations, as well. One respondent said, “The ruling will, in essence, take us back to the stone age of real estate, as things were in the 70s where everyone worked for the seller.”

The agent went on to say: “The evolution of Buyer Brokerage, where each party has their own counsel, is the only way all parties truly are well served. It could and will put buyer brokerage out of reach to the people who need it most: the first-time home buyers who can barely afford their down payments and closing costs.”

While many of the comments from respondents focused on the negative changes they see coming to their businesses and the unfavorable impacts that would have on consumers, many expressed their outrage at their trade association.

I FEEL LIKE NAR DID NOT PROTECT US AS AGENTS AND BROKERS,” one respondent screamed in all caps. “THEY COULD HAVE FOUGHT HARDER, BUT THEY JUST FOLDED LIKE A HOUSE OF CARDS.”

Our polling will continue and we will bring you new insights from the industry and your agent peers as this story develops and becomes available.

For now, the offer is pending. The verdict in this case came in at $1.78 billion, an amount many commentators called “staggering.” However, Local Logic estimates the potential damages could reach as high as $5.3 billion due to antitrust claims. There is no guarantee, as of yet, that the judge will accept NAR’s offer of 8 cents on the dollar.

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