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Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has given his clearest signal that central bank is ready to cut interest rates in September.

In a speech delivered today at an economic symposium sponsored by the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, Powell observed that “the economy continues to grow at a solid pace,” adding that “the upside risks to inflation have diminished and the downside risks to employment have increased.” In this environment, Powell stated, the Fed was able to consider a change in rate policy away from its current 23-year high of 5.25% to 5.5%.

“The time has come for policy to adjust,” he said. “The direction of travel is clear, and the timing and pace of rate cuts will depend on incoming data, the evolving outlook, and the balance of risks.”

The Fed next votes on its rate policy in mid-September, six weeks before the presidential election. The central bank’s role in the economy has become a political issue during the campaign, with former President Donald Trump warning that a rate cut ahead of the election could be seen as a political bias to assist the Democratic incumbent – initially President Joe Biden, now Vice President Kamala Harris.

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Powell acknowledged that the Fed has been and will continue to be open to criticism.

“As we begin this process later this year, we will be open to criticism and new ideas, while preserving the strengths of our framework,” he said. “The limits of our knowledge – so clearly evident during the pandemic – demand humility and a questioning spirit focused on learning lessons from the past and applying them flexibly to our current challenges.”

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