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Planet Earth has has gone from a ball of molten rock to ice, and then, to the climate we have today. Just like Earth, mortgage rates and housing markets are cyclic and we’re heading into another Ice Age.

Find me a sales meeting in the U.S. that didn’t talk about the cycle. There is a broker in charge talking about the spring buying season and an elder mortgage sales manager talking about some interest-only (IO) loan or ARM from 1990 that was 8%. Any given year or decade, we see the same trends.

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If I believe Twitter and the charts and graphs that show 2015 trends or 2020 trends or 1982 trends, I can’t help but to ask, what if these are not an indicator of today, but the beginning of a new normal? If not, what does that mean? What if this isn’t our typical cycle?

 

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