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Freddie Mac Multifamily Updates Refinance Stress Test With 4.73% Forward Rate

Freddie Mac Multifamily’s updated refinance test took effect Oct. 1 for new loans and uses a 4.73% implied 10-year forward rate.

Multifamily construction site illustrating SCALE Lending's $67.5 million Rahway construction loan
Illustrative multifamily construction image. Photo by Aleksi Partanen via Unsplash.

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Freddie Mac Multifamily has put a new refinance test into effect for new loans, updating a key underwriting stress test as apartment borrowers continue to navigate higher refinancing costs.

Freddie Mac said the 2026Q2 Refinance Test became effective Oct. 1 for all new loans. The updated test uses a 4.73% implied 10-year forward rate.

The test asks whether today’s loan can be refinanced at maturity

Freddie Mac’s refinance test is designed to evaluate a property’s ability to refinance the projected balloon balance when the mortgage matures. It is a forward-looking underwriting exercise rather than a prediction that interest rates will actually equal the modeled rate at that point.

The expense-growth assumption varies based on economic conditions and property characteristics. Freddie said loan-spread and capitalization-rate growth assumptions are unchanged from the prior quarter.

The test matters because many multifamily loans do not fully amortize before maturity. Borrowers typically need to refinance or otherwise repay a remaining balloon balance. A property that supports its debt comfortably at origination can face refinancing pressure later if interest rates rise, expenses increase or property income fails to grow as expected.

A failed test starts a conversation, not an automatic rejection

Freddie Mac’s refinance-test framework is part of its underwriting process, but failure of the test does not by itself mean Freddie Mac will not purchase a loan. The result can instead trigger earlier discussion with Freddie Mac Multifamily about the transaction and its risk factors.

That distinction is important for lenders and borrowers. Stress tests are intended to identify refinance exposure before a loan is made, allowing structure, leverage and other factors to be evaluated in the context of the property’s projected performance.

The Oct. 1 update arrives while multifamily owners are dealing with a much different financing environment than borrowers who locked long-term debt during the ultra-low-rate years. Even properties with stable operations can face a higher debt-service burden when an older mortgage matures.

The 4.73% forward-rate assumption should therefore be read as one component of Freddie Mac’s underwriting framework, not as a forecast of the mortgage rate a specific property will receive years from now.

For agency multifamily lenders, the practical change is immediate: new loans submitted under the updated framework must now be evaluated using the new test and its current economic assumptions.

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