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A Phil Hall Op-Ed: This past weekend, I saw an interview in DailyMail.com with the media-prominent financial advisor Suze Orman regarding property insurance premiums. Orman complained about the $28,000 quote that her insurer gave on her 2,100-square-foot oceanfront condo in Florida, and she warned that climate change is responsible for rising insurance premiums, which will make homeownership more unaffordable to many Americans.

“Climate change is going to make a big difference in people’s desire to own their own home,” Orman said in her interview. “Look at what’s happening in Southern California. Look at the devastating hurricanes that are coming to places where hurricanes really weren’t so prevalent before. I think people start to get a little frayed, especially with interest rates on mortgages being where they are. Real estate is unpredictable. I never would have thought to advise homebuyers: ‘Oh, you better make sure that you can afford a quadrupling of property insurance in the future.’”

Orman added that in her case, she owned the condo and had the ability not to pay the insurer the quote.

“I’m not paying $28,000 a year when the insurer will probably contest any claim I get anyway. Luckily, I have the money to self-insure,” she said.

It is no secret that property insurance has become much more expensive over the past few years. A recent study by Policygenius found home insurance prices were up by 35% between May 2021 and May 2023 – and insurance premiums increased by an average of 68% in Florida during the same period.

“Given the industry’s ongoing challenges and the threat of climate change, it’s not surprising that home insurance premiums are continuing to rise,” said Pat Howard, a licensed property and casualty insurance expert at Policygenius.

Okay, let’s pause for a moment and re-read what Howard just said, with a new emphasis on what’s driving the problems: “Given the industry’s ongoing challenges and the threat of climate change, it’s not surprising that home insurance premiums are continuing to rise.”

Clearly, Howard contradicted Orman by describing the threat of climate change and by not giving it priority in his analysis. So, what exactly are the “industry’s ongoing challenges”? Let’s focus on Florida, which leads the nation in jacked-up property premiums.

Last September, the Miami Herald investigated the state of property insurance within Florida and found climate change might not be the major factor to blame. Among the problems cited were “bad business practices, including excessive pay for executives, [which] may have also been a factor in the bankruptcy and withdrawals for some insurers in Florida.”

The Herald also pointed out that many Florida households “are packed into some of the most dangerous and hard-to-insure places in the county, like Florida’s coasts.”  When you consider the increase in Florida’s inbound migration since the pandemic, the insurers have a much larger population to potentially pay out in the event of hurricane and flooding damage.

Booking.com

Furthermore, the Herald’s coverage also cited Jeff Brandes, a former state senator who observed, “Florida had only 8% of U.S. property claims and 80% of the property litigation in the U.S. You can’t be the most hurricane-prone state and the most litigious and expect low rates. Insurance is set on an annual basis, so while climate change may be an issue, it’s not an issue people see as immediate for insurance purposes. It’s a future risk.”

Of course, higher construction costs to repair residential properties damaged in weather events only adds to the pricing mayhem.

Now, this is not to say that weather events impacting Florida and the southeastern United States have not become more frequent and more violent in recent years. But before Suze Orman or anyone starts to solely blame climate change for jacking up property insurance in the Sunshine State, perhaps they need to step back and see the proverbial bigger picture.

Phil Hall is editor at Weekly Real Estate News. He can be reached at [email protected].

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