Source: Fortune —
The Pandemic Housing Boom saw U.S. home prices spike an unprecedented 43% in just over two years. But that’s over now: Spiked mortgage rates have pushed the U.S. housing market into a sharp slowdown that could threaten some of those gains.
Some firms—including John Burns Real Estate Consulting, Zonda, and Zelman & Associates—are already predicting that U.S. home prices in 2023 will post their first year-over-year decline of the post–Great Financial Crisis era. In a sharp housing downturn scenario, Fitch Ratings thinks a 10% to 15% national home price decline is possible. Not everyone agrees. Goldman Sachs and Zillow predict that U.S. home prices will rise another 1.8% and 2.4%, respectively, over the coming year.
While industry insiders are still debating whether national house prices will post year-over-year declines, there’s a consensus that some regional markets will see prices go down.
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