Homebuying activity showed a tentative sign of stabilization in the week ending October 23, but the latest figures offer little evidence of a broad recovery. Weekly pending sales stopped falling as mortgage rates retreated from recent peaks, even while active inventory climbed and purchase-loan applications remained weak.
According to HousingWire’s October 24 weekly market analysis, 52,490 homes went under contract in the latest week, compared with 67,752 during the comparable period in 2025. The new reading represents a modest improvement from the preceding week, not a return to last year’s transaction volume. On that comparison, pending contracts remained about 22.5% lower than a year earlier.
The distinction matters for lenders, brokers and home sellers. A positive weekly change after an extended decline can indicate that conditions have stopped deteriorating as quickly, but it does not establish a sustained rebound. HousingWire cautioned that weekly contract data can fluctuate and generally take another 30 to 60 days to show up in completed-sales figures.
Inventory rises while fewer sellers enter the market
HousingWire’s tracked active inventory increased from 905,166 homes on October 16 to 911,956 on October 23, a gain of 6,790 properties. The latest count was 5.68% higher than the comparable year-earlier reading of 862,924. New listings, however, were weaker: 60,151 homes were newly listed, compared with 64,191 a year earlier.
That combination is a warning against interpreting rising inventory as an unqualified surge in new supply. Listings can accumulate because homes take longer to sell, even when fewer owners decide to put their properties on the market. HousingWire’s analysis found that the share of homes with price reductions had moved above its year-earlier level, suggesting that more sellers are adjusting expectations to attract buyers.
A separate Realtor.com weekly analysis published October 22 found the national median listing price at $415,000 for the week ending October 17, down 2.1% from a year earlier, while new listings declined 5.1%. The two organizations use different data systems and reporting windows, so their counts should not be treated as directly interchangeable. Both nevertheless point to a market in which demand is not keeping pace with available listings.
Rates ease from the peak, but affordability remains strained
Mortgage rates retreated toward the low-7% range after briefly approaching 7.6% in recent market pricing, according to HousingWire. That helped prevent another weekly decline in its pending-sales measure, but rates remain high enough to constrain household purchasing power and make moving unattractive for owners holding older, lower-rate loans.
The October 22 Redfin report offers a complementary, but earlier, view: its rolling four-week pending-sales measure fell to a record low in data going back to 2021. That report covers the four weeks ending October 18, whereas HousingWire’s small weekly improvement refers to the subsequent reporting week. The findings are not contradictory. They describe different time frames and different ways of measuring demand.
Mortgage purchase applications were still falling on a weekly and annual basis in HousingWire’s latest assessment. Application data typically lead closings, but they do not capture every cash buyer or perfectly predict final transactions. One steadier week of pending contracts therefore should not be used to declare that the purchase market has turned a corner.
What lenders and agents should watch next
The near-term test is whether the modest improvement in weekly contracts survives another week and whether purchase applications respond to lower rates. Sustained progress would also require sellers and buyers to narrow the gap between asking prices and what households can finance.
For mortgage companies, the immediate operational implication is pipeline uncertainty. A short-lived rate decline may produce more borrower inquiries without generating proportionate locked loans or funded purchases. For agents, the combination of accumulating inventory and limited new listings makes local pricing, property condition and seller flexibility especially important.
The next weekly releases will help distinguish a temporary pause from a meaningful change in direction. For now, the latest figures support a narrower conclusion: housing demand stopped weakening in one weekly series, but the market remains substantially softer than it was a year ago.
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